GCR News Summary December 2013

Mammoth Hot Springs image courtesy of Brocken Inaglory under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported license

Russian President Vladimir Putin told senior Russian officials that long-range conventional high- precision weapons could provide an alternative to nuclear deterrence. Long-range conventional weapons give Russia a conventional means of striking discrete targets quickly anywhere in the world. But conventional ballistic missiles could carry the same danger of escalation as nuclear weapons, since they are difficult to distinguish from nuclear weapons once they have been launched. …

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November-December 2013 Newsletter

Dear friends,

GCRI is actively shifting its focus towards activities related to our four GCR synthesis research topics: integrated assessment, interaction effects, research priorities, and response options. Some other activities, including online lectures, will pause as the shift proceeds. We expect that increased attention to the synthesis topics will help us prioritize further work on the most important GCR issues. I look forward to sharing more details when they are ready for public distribution. Please contact me if you would like to discuss privately.

Meanwhile, Robert de …

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GCR News Summary November 2013

Iranian Supreme Leader Grand Ayatollah Ali Khamenei image courtesy of the Foundation for Holy Defence Values, Archives and Publications

Iran reached a deal with China, France, Germany, Russia, the UK, the US to temporarily limit the amount of uranium it enriches. Iran agreed for the next six months to stop production and dilute its stock of highly-enriched uranium, to stop installing new centrifuges, to stop work on a heavy-water reactor capable of producing plutonium, and to allow greater oversight from the International …

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GCR News Summary October 2013

Indian flying fox image courtesy of Fritz Geller-Grimm under a Creative Commons Attribution Share-Alike 2.5 Generic license.

The US federal government shut down for 16 days when Congress failed to authorize funds for the 2014 fiscal year. The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) furloughed two-thirds of its employees, which left it without enough staff to monitor safety procedures at high-security biolabs, watch for outbreaks of potential pandemics, or respond to a major public health emergency. During the shutdown 338 people in 18 …

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New Review Of AI Risk Book Our Final Invention

Quick fyi – I have a review of Our Final Invention by James Barrat. The review is titled Our Final Invention: Is AI the Defining Issue for Humanity? and has been published at Scientific American Blogs. There is also a reprint at Yahoo News. It’s a very readable book, a good introduction to AI risk for people new to the topic, but also something that experts will also learn something from.

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October 2013 Newsletter

Dear friends,

The saying “anything is possible” isn’t quite true, but much more is possible than we sometimes might think. For example, it is now clear that United States Treasury bonds are not the risk-free investments they were long assumed to be. The risk-free assumption was rooted in a failure of imagination, a failure to recognize the possibilities of divided government. So too for many global catastrophic risks. Recent research on the economics of climate change has emphasized the importance of catastrophic outcomes outside the range …

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Online Lecture Reflections And Plans

This past May, we kicked off a series of online lectures with Aladdin Diakun’s Towards the Effective Governance of Geoengineering: What Role for Intellectual Property?. Since then, we have held 11 different lectures, including a reprise lecture, on diverse topics including chemical pollution, artificial intelligence, ethics, and international law. The lecture series has been very successful by many counts. Now, for the first time since May, there are no new lectures scheduled, though next month we will host practice lectures for the SRA 2013 GCR …

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Tony Milligan Gives Lecture on Virtue Ethics

On Wednesday 25 September, GCRI hosted an online lecture by Tony Milligan entitled ‘Virtue, Risk and Space Colonization’. Milligan is a Lecturer in the Philosophy Department at the University of Hertfordshire.

Discussions of the ethics of risk and space colonization are often dominated by consequentialist ethics. This includes GCRI’s recent ethics lecture by Nick Beckstead as well as my own writings on the topic (e.g. [1-2]). Milligan’s lecture covers the same risk and space topics but in terms of virtue ethics. Regardless of one’s views (and …

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Beckstead Reprise Lecture Audio Online

The mp3 audio file for Nick Beckstead’s reprise lecture is now online here. The reprise lecture was held 28 Aug 2013, titled On The Overwhelming Importance Of Shaping The Far Future. An online summary for the original lecture is already online here.

The audio file has been edited to remove sections in which the call was temporarily disconnected and other audio issues. However, we left in several stretches in which the audio is inaudible or marginally audible. We want it to be known that while the …

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GCRI Welcomes Research Associate Caroline Zaw-Mon

We’re pleased to announce our newest affiliate, Research Associate Caroline Zaw-Mon. Here’s his bio from the GCRI People page.

Caroline is a Risk Project Manager at the University of Denver. Caroline holds an M.A. in International Studies from the Josef Korbel School of International Studies at the University of Denver (2009), an International M.B.A. from Daniels College of Business at the University of Denver (2009), and a B.S. in History (2001) from Vanderbilt University. As a Research Associate, Caroline contributes to GCRI research on nuclear war …

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