My Experience With The GCRI Advising/Collaboration Program: A Junior Collaborator From Singapore

I am a recent college graduate working on AI policy with an emphasis on global catastrophic risk. This past April, I moved back to my home country, Singapore, to start as a Research Associate at the Centre for AI and Data Governance at Singapore Management University. I first got in touch with GCRI during my time at university, and reconnected over the summer as part of its advising/collaboration program.

The Centre for AI and Data Governance is
fairly new. It mainly focuses on scholarship of Singapore law …

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Summary of 2019 Advising and Collaboration Program

In May, GCRI put out an open call for people interested in seeking our advice and/or collaborating with us on projects. This was a new initiative for us, enabled by funding we received last year. It was also a bit of an experiment: we did not know how much interest there would be, or how constructive it would be either for the advisees/collaborators or for us.

We are
quite happy with how the advising/collaboration program turned out. We received
inquiries from many talented people from around the …

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September 2019 Newsletter

Survival and Flourishing Fund Grant

GCRI has been awarded a $60,000 grant from the Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF), a new donor-advised fund held at the Silicon Valley Community Foundation. SFF’s goal is “to bring financial support to organizations working to improve humanity’s long-term prospects for survival and flourishing”. GCRI is grateful for SFF’s support of our work.

Risk and Decision Analysis

GCRI Executive Director Seth Baum has an article on “The Challenge of Analyzing Global Catastrophic Risks” in the July issue of Decision Analysis Today. The article describes …

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Review of End Times in Science

Read Seth Baum’s review of End Times.

GCRI Executive Director Seth Baum recently reviewed Bryan Walsh’s new book End Times: A Brief Guide to the End of the World for Science. Dr. Baum calls End Times is “a highly readable account of the field of global catastrophic risk as it is currently constituted”. The book specifically covers Earth-asteroid collision, volcano eruption, nuclear war, global warming, disease outbreaks, biotechnology, and various threats from artificial and extraterrestrial intelligence. Dr. Baum writes that the book raises two key questions …

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The Challenge of Analyzing Global Catastrophic Risks

View the paper “The Challenge of Analyzing Global Catastrophic Risks”

The quantification of global catastrophic risks in terms of their probabilities and severities is difficult, but it is important for many decisions. Likewise, the fields of risk and decision analysis have much to offer the study of global catastrophic risk. This short paper summarizes the challenge of quantitatively analyzing global catastrophic risks. I was invited by the Decision Analysis Society to write this for their publication Decision Analysis Today.

As the paper explains, the quantification of global …

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GCRI Session at the 2019 Society for Risk Analysis Meeting

GCRI is hosting a session on Global Catastrophic Risks at the 2019 meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) in Arlington, VA. SRA is the leading professional society for all types of risk. SRA brings together researchers from many disciplines as well as professionals from government, industry, nonprofits, and other sectors.

GCRI Director of Research Tony Barrett is chairing the session. It will feature talks by GCRI Executive Director Seth Baum, GCRI Special Advisor for Government Affairs Jared Brown, GCRI Senior Advisor Gary Ackerman, University …

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July Newsletter: Asteroid-Nuclear Risk Analysis

Dear friends,

One reason it is important to analyze the global catastrophic risks quantitatively is that some decisions involve tradeoffs between them. An action may reduce one risk while increasing another. It’s important to know whether the decrease in the one risk is large enough to offset the increase in the other.

This month, we announce a new paper that presents a detailed analysis of one such decision: the use of nuclear explosives to deflect Earthbound asteroids away. Nuclear deflection is an option under active consideration by …

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Risk-Risk Tradeoff Analysis of Nuclear Explosives for Asteroid Deflection

View the paper “Risk-Risk Tradeoff Analysis of Nuclear Explosives for Asteroid Deflection”

If an asteroid is found to be on collision course with Earth, it may be possible to deflect it away. One way of deflecting asteroids would be to use nuclear explosives. A nuclear deflection program may reduce the risk of an asteroid collision, but it might also inadvertently increase the risk of nuclear war or other violent conflict. This paper analyzes this potential tradeoff and evaluates its policy implications. The paper is published in …

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May Newsletter: Call For Advisees & Collaborators

Dear friends,

I’m pleased to announce that GCRI has recently launched an open call for advisees and collaborators. If you are interested in working with GCRI, or if you would simply like some advice from us on how you can get involved in global catastrophic risk, then please don’t hesitate to reach out. We welcome inquiries from people at all career points, from students to senior scholars and professionals. Please see our blog post for details.

Sincerely,

Seth BaumExecutive Director

Planetary Defense

GCRI Executive Director Seth Baum gave a talk titled …

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Open Call for Advisees and Collaborators, May 2019

GCRI is currently welcoming inquiries from people who are
interested in seeking our advice and/or collaborating with us on projects.

At this time we are holding a preliminary, informal, open call for people at all career points interested in working on any aspect of global catastrophic risk. We cannot engage with everyone, but will try to talk to as many interested people as we can.

Of particular interest:

Scholars and professionals at intermediate and senior career points (Ph.D. graduates and up, or equivalent professional experience) whose work overlaps with …

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